February 26, 2021: Calibrating Real-World Evidence Against RCT Evidence: Early Learnings from RCT-DUPLICATE (Sebastian Schneeweiss, MD, ScD)

Speaker

Sebastian Schneeweiss, MD, ScD
Chief, Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics
Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital
Professor of Medicine, Harvard Medical School
Professor in Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

Topic

Calibrating Real-World Evidence Against RCT Evidence: Early Learnings from RCT-DUPLICATE

Keywords

Real-world evidence (RWE); Randomized controlled trials (RCTs); Epidemiology; Emulation; Fit-for-purpose data

Key Points

  • While RCTs are an accepted research study design to establish the efficacy of medical products, RWE studies can complement the evidence generated by RCTs, as well as expand the line of inquiry around population, endpoints, treatment patterns, and comparators.
  • The RCT-DUPLICATE study aimed to understand and improve the validity of RWE studies for regulatory decision making. One objective was to identify factors that predictably increase the validity of such studies.
  • In RCT-DUPLICATE, RWE studies were designed to emulate 20 target RCTs. The regulatory-standard RCTs for replication underwent feasibility checks and quality assessments.
  • With data that are fit-for-purpose and proper design and analysis, nonrandomized RWE studies usually come to the same conclusion as the RCT about a drug’s treatment effect.
  • In any emulation, despite best efforts, there will remain differences in population, measurement, and drug use. Data fit-for-purpose and study design choices are the most important considerations for emulation success.

Discussion Themes

Initial findings of RCT-DUPLICATE identify circumstances when RWE may offer causal insights in situations where RCT data are either not available or cannot be quickly or feasibly generated.

Can this approach be used to predict results for a new entity?

It will be useful to establish a repository of case studies to increase the predictability of future RWE studies; increase the use of common methodological approaches to emulate target trials; and point out areas that are currently difficult to address with RWE.

Read more about RCT-DUPLICATE in Circulation.

Tags

#pctGR, @Collaboratory1