Dr. Fan Li, a longtime member of the NIH Collaboratory’s Biostatistics and Study Design Core, has received approval for a $1 million grant award from the Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute (PCORI) to develop methods and software for designing cluster randomized trials. Li is an assistant professor of biostatistics in the Yale School of Public Health.

The study, entitled “New Methods for Planning Cluster Randomized Trials to Detect Treatment Effect Heterogeneity,” will contribute new methods, guidance, and user-friendly software for planning parallel and stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials to enable confirmatory “heterogeneity of treatment effect” (HTE) analyses with sufficient statistical power.

HTE occurs when there is systematic variation in treatment effect across predefined patient or provider subgroups that can arise due to diverse practices, varying responses to treatment, or differing vulnerability to certain diseases, among other reasons. While understanding of HTE has been a recognized goal in individually randomized trials, methods for planning cluster randomized trials with HTE analyses are limited. This PCORI-funded study will expand the current cluster randomized design toolbox to accommodate confirmatory HTE analysis and meet a growing interest in better understanding how patient- and provider-level characteristics moderate the impact of new care innovations in pragmatic trials.

The award has been approved pending completion of a business and programmatic review by PCORI staff and issuance of a formal award contract.

Joining Li on the research team are coinvestigators Dr. Patrick Heagerty of the University of Washington, Dr. Rui Wang of Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, and Dr. Denise Esserman of the Yale School of Public Health. Heagerty and Wang are members of the NIH Collaboratory’s Biostatistics and Study Design Core. The team will work closely with other NIH Collaboratory colleagues and stakeholders, including Dr. Adrian Hernandez of Duke University, Dr. Jerry Jarvik of the University of Washington, and Dr. Richard Platt of Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute.